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Jeremy Kappell

OUTLOOK: Active Winter Pattern Returns Next Week for the East!

After a nice break from the harsh winter weather this past week, those old upper level winds begin to crank across Eastern North America again as we go throughout next week setting the stage for quite an active pattern once again with big storm potential.

As I shared on my social pages earlier today, the 12z run of the Euro came in, as it has been with a very busy storm track shaping up from the Southern Plains through the Midwest and into parts of the Northeast. 

While both the Euro and GFS have been showing a generally "stormy pattern" with generally some weak low pressure systems working their way through the increasingly active "southwesterly" flow aloft starting on Monday the 10th. 

However, as the jet stream winds increase in speed, so does the prospect for a stronger storm to occur.  Such as the one, potentially, showing up in the data for next weekend (February 15/16th) see end of below animation.

Without wanting to draw to much attention to that particular "model storm" (although impressive looking) that is about 10 days out, it is important to note the overall pattern which will be conducive to several storms next week riding in that very active southwesterly flow. 

This will allow for the convergence of a warm/moist air mass out of the Gulf and a constant source for the cold arriving out of Canada on the northside of the storm track creating the potential for more messy winter weather that includes the potential for heavy rain, heavy snow and possibly more ice as well.   

Final Thoughts

While it's way to soon to make any specific predictions, it does look increasingly likely that significant winter weather will be making a comeback over the next 6 to 10 days across parts of the Eastern US.  

I'll be watching the trends.  

 

Jeremy Kappell

Meteorologist, Writer, Journalist 

 

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